Dubai-listed developer Emaar Properties is sharpening its global expansion strategy by placing a stronger emphasis on India while exercising caution over entry into China’s troubled housing market, according to chief executive and founder Mohamed Alabbar.
Alabbar told the Future Investment Initiative conference in Riyadh that India would be “our next big step,” citing two decades of operations in the country and significant growth potential. He emphasised that, while Emaar remains “very interested in China,” it is holding off until the market shows clear signs of recovery, noting that “it is a different world. Let them recover.”
The directive comes after Emaar posted strong financial results: net profit jumped 25 per cent to AED 18.9 billion last year and rose a further 34 per cent in the first half of 2025, conditions that Alabbar says position the firm to target large market acquisitions rather than start-ups abroad. Emaar’s land-bank footprint already spans more than 1.87 billion sq ft globally, including a 122 million sq ft stake in India and around 175 million sq ft outside the UAE.
In India the driver is rising urbanisation, youthful demographics and a housing deficit that Emaar believes it is well placed to address. Alabbar signalled that the company is pursuing joint-venture partnerships with local groups rather than divesting its Indian operations, dismissing reports of a sale to one of the country’s major conglomerates. By contrast, China presents multiple headwinds including a pronounced housing market slump: new-home prices in 63 out of 70 major Chinese cities fell in September, reflecting a 0.4 per cent month-on-month drop and a 2.2 per cent year-on-year fall.
Analysts say Emaar’s bifurcated strategy makes sense in the context of broader market dynamics. India’s economy is forecast to grow about 6.7 per cent in fiscal 2025-26, according to a Reuters poll, while China is projected to expand by roughly 4.8 per cent amid real-estate weakness. Alabbar noted that the company sees China’s environment as “still suffering with their housing problem, but they’ll come up with it,” stating that Emaar wants to be ready rather than reactive.
Emaar’s preferred mode of overseas expansion appears to be acquiring significant stakes in existing developers, upgrading business models and rolling out its integrated real-estate offering rather than green-field launches. “Maybe you go and buy a majority stake in a developer and then change the way they do business … or maybe they already do good business and we learn from them,” Alabbar explained. That approach aligns with Emaar’s low net debt, elevated cash position and willingness to invest in large markets such as the US, Europe and China.
Critics caution that while India holds promise, foreign developers often face regulatory, land-title and partner-alignment risks. Emaar’s long-standing Indian venture, launched in 2005, endured partner disputes and execution delays, a history that Alabbar acknowledged when he said “we’ve been there 20 years. That’s big for us.” He further noted that successful growth in India depends on selecting the proper location and product mix. Meanwhile, China’s structural property problems are deep-rooted: unsold inventory and falling valuations continue to impair homebuyer confidence, raising questions about the timing of any major developer expansion into the market.